Chiefs Preview 2011

Last night I caught much of the exhibition affair with the Packers, yes, that's the one, the one with all the fumbles and dropped passes eventuating in a one-point loss. Yes, a loss even though most of our starters were out there for the entirety. This does not bode well, as exhibition play is always about getting all your rookies and free agents a shot at showing what they can do. We finished it 0-4, which I'm pretty sure is what it was last year.

After the game we watched the last part of the horror film The Ring, about a very creepy zombie girl who comes out of the television and frightens the viewer so thoroughly that it causes not only death but gruesome physical disfigurement. Funny, when I turned off my computer shortly thereafter the giant "KC" arrowhead on my desktop went a very spooky shade of black and gray just before the screen went blank. That never happens.

Of course, I could only think.

Are this year's Kansas City Chiefs going to come out of my television set and scare the bejeebers out of us this year?

I do have some serious concerns about these guys, and I'll share them as I round up the five keys to this season. For each and every one, I'll put down a percentage possibility that I think the team will address them and play well. That is, if it says "70%" that means I think they've got a 70% chance to make the good thing happen and do well. Really, if they do all of them, we're going to the Super Bowl. If they don't, then it's just another zombie year.

Those keys to 2011 in order of importance:

No. 1: Todd Haley has to be a big-time big-game head coach. I really think he has the potential to be a fine head coach, but when I watch him I just sense he is too concerned about how he's doing. I dunno, maybe it's just me, but I just get that sense. He's got to jettison all that worry and just have confidence in what he's doing.

It all starts in the front office, and I really like what Clark Hunt is doing in his dedication to the team, and I think Scott Pioli has made some great personnel moves to really start building this team. The key question is will Todd Haley have learned enough in his couple of years already at the helm to really start being a solid, winning head coach?

Chance it'll happen: 75%. Not too bad, because I do think the guy has the smarts and potential. Whether he allows it to flourish without being too self-absorbed is the key here.

No. 2: Glenn Dorsey and Tyson Jackson really need to start playing like the top draft picks they were. It is axiomatic that games are won at the line of scrimmage, and these guys are really going to have to show they have All-Pro skill if we are going to have a chance. They actually do pretty decently with the pass rush -- with a lot of help from Tamba Hali -- but they absolutely must step it up defending the run.

We've been waiting a long time for them to come around. This year is the make-or-break year.

Chance it'll happen: 55%. Not too high, just because if they were something, we'd have seen it by now. I'm sorry -- I just haven't seen it. I just fear Jackson is going to be one of Pioli's major busts. And I have to add that these guys should be better simply because the Chiefs have a very good defensive backfield to help them. Even with that, will they be better? Ehh. Gotta show us there in the Show Me State.

No. 3: We must absorb the loss of Brian Waters on the O-line. This dude was studly, but his discontent eventually led him out when he got the chance. They're sticking somewhat heralded Jon Asamoah in that space and we'll see if he can open up space for our fine runners.

I really believe the key to the Chiefs offensive success this year is Dexter McCluster. This guy is phenomenal, and Todd Haley has shown his confidence in him. The question is, how much will teams now key on that patented shallow-flat route McCluster is so good at running?

Chance it'll happen: 80%. Little bit more confidence in this area, simply because I'm counting on Jamaal Charles being as good as he was last year.

No. 4: Matt Cassel has got to show Hall-of-Fame characteristics as a signal-caller. Oh yeah, how high can one's expectations get? I know, I know. But as I've documented thoroughly in this blog, only HOF QB's get you to the promised land. Is Cassel good? Yeah. Is he great? Nah. Can he be great? I dunno.

Again, I like the guy. He's a leader, a winner, and take-no-prisoners guy. For cryin' out loud he's an All-Pro QB. I know, I know. But I have to admit I'm not sold on the guy and he's just got to step it up for us. A tall order? Yeah.

Chance it'll happen: 30%. Now that's the chance he'll actually turn into a Hall-of-Fame QB. If he's close, maybe, just maybe he can still get us to the promised land.

No. 5: Wide receivers must step it up, a lot. How Cassel does depends a great deal on this critical aspect of our offense, something that was dreadful last year. Sure we have Dwayne Bowe, who is extraordinary. But the rest of the WR corps have been downright abysmal. We picked up vets Steve Breaston and Jerheme Urban. Are these guys really going to be the answer to helping Bowe, or are they going to end up like major busts Mark Bradley and Chris Chambers?

Chances it'll happen: 65%. Who's to say it couldn't happen, but I just keep thinking of Bradley and Chambers. Rookie Jonathan Baldwin is highly touted, but it'll take time for him to develop.

Those are the five keys in my mind. Again, if the Chiefs can make it happen in these areas, we're at least AFC West champs -- and hey, maybe we'll win a playoff game! Yay! If not, Chiefs fans will be feeling a lot like the guy who spent too much time watching the ugly zombie come out of the television.
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